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GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 2nd Quarter 2026

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the second quarter of 2026 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In the first quarter, real GDP increased 2.1 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the second quarter were increases in consumer spending, exports, and investment that were pa

PRIMARY SOURCEU.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisOpen original source →OPEN IN MARKET MEMORY →

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OBSERVED RESPONSE

AWAITING OBSERVED RESPONSE

Expected sensitivities are available, but ME Standard has not recorded a qualifying post-event market reaction window yet.

DRIVER USDMES_EVENT_IMPACT_V20 QUALIFYING WINDOWS
  • No qualifying post-event market reaction window is recorded yet.

EXPECTED SENSITIVITY

Relationships to monitor

Transparent relationship rules identify markets worth monitoring; they are not directional forecasts.

  • USDdirect macro sensitive

    US policy and macro information can reprice broad USD conditions.

  • US10Ycross-market sensitive

    US Treasury yields often transmit policy and macro repricing.

  • GOLDUSD/real-yield sensitive

    Gold is exposed to the USD and real-yield transmission channels.

  • US100equity-risk sensitive

    Material macro information can alter growth, rates and risk pricing.

  • SPXequity-risk sensitive

    Broad US equities respond to changes in growth, policy and risk expectations.

  • VIXrisk sensitive

    Implied volatility can reprice as event uncertainty changes.

EXPECTED RELATIONSHIP ≠ OBSERVED RESPONSE ≠ PROVEN CAUSALITY.